Bayesian estimation of parameters in a SI mathematical model for the transmision dynamics of an infectious disease in Peru

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چکیده

The objective of the research is to estimate transmission rate an infection (β) in SI epidemical model, using Bayesian statistical methods from observed data Peru. After studying mathematical model and inference metho'ds, a estimator proposed transmisión this procedure Montecarlo simulation based on Markov chains - MCMC.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Selecciones matematicas

سال: 2023

ISSN: ['2411-1783']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.17268/sel.mat.2023.01.04